{"id":514,"date":"2020-05-05T17:14:40","date_gmt":"2020-05-05T17:14:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/capecovid.com\/?page_id=514"},"modified":"2020-08-10T01:32:20","modified_gmt":"2020-08-10T01:32:20","slug":"massachusetts","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/capecovid.com\/?page_id=514","title":{"rendered":"Massachusetts"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-page\" data-elementor-id=\"514\" class=\"elementor elementor-514\" data-elementor-settings=\"[]\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-section-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-e9b5ee7 elementor-section-stretched elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default elementor-section elementor-top-section\" data-id=\"e9b5ee7\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;stretch_section&quot;:&quot;section-stretched&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-row\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3fcd0df elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column\" data-id=\"3fcd0df\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column-wrap  elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-9aa2898 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"9aa2898\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-text-editor elementor-clearfix\"><p style=\"margin: 0pt 30pt 25pt 30pt\">\nRecords of the Massachusetts Department of Public Health show that on March 1st, three cases of COVID-19 had been reported in Massachusetts. By the end of March, more than 100 new cases were being confirmed every day.\n<\/p>\n\n<p style=\"margin: 0pt 30pt 25pt 30pt\">\nThe three charts below display the counts of new cases and deaths in Massachusetts, along with the percentage of COVID-19 tests reported as positive. These measures are indicators of the spread of the disease, and each indictor peaked in April and has been steadily declining since then.\n<\/p>\n\n<p style=\"margin: 0pt 30pt 25pt 30pt\">\nMassachusetts embarked on Phase 1 of the Baker-Polito plan for \u201creopening the economy\u201d on May 18, Phase 2 on June 8 and June 22, and Phase 3 on July 6, which are highlighted on the charts by vertical yellow bars.\n<\/p>\n\n<p style=\"margin: 0pt 30pt 15pt 30pt\">\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/capecovid.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/149mc.png\" alt=\u201dConfirmed cases\" \/>\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/capecovid.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/149md.png\" alt=\"Deaths\" \/>\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/capecovid.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/149mtx.png\" alt=\"Tests\" \/>\n<\/p>\n\n<p style=\"margin: 0pt 30pt 25pt 30pt\">\n<u>Technical notes<\/u>:<\/br>\n&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; On June 1, the Mass. DPH began combining confirmed and probable cases when reporting the number of new daily cases and total number of COVID-19 cases for the commonwealth. Subsequently, the DPH began reporting only confirmed cases again on the daily dashboard, while including both confirmed and probable cases in the raw database used to update the case-count chart below. The probable cases account for the difference in the total number of deaths reported in the chart above and on the dashboard for the same date at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mass.gov\/info-details\/covid-19-response-reporting\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/www.mass.gov\/info-details\/covid-19-response-reporting<\/a>. <\/br>\n&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; The raw data files containing COVID-19 related deaths updated daily by the DPH are not as current as the raw data files containing case-count data, which explains the discrepant dates on the charts above depicting cases and deaths.\n<\/p>\n\n<p style=\"margin: 0pt 30pt 15pt 30pt\"> \n<u>Analysis<\/u>:<\/br>\n&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; The percentage of <em>tests reported positive<\/em> peaked on April 13; the daily <em>increase in new cases<\/em> peaked on April 17; and the daily <em>increase in deaths<\/em> peaked on April 24. This sequence follows the pattern epidemiologists expect. Positive tests are a leading indicator, while numbers of deaths are a trailing indicator. Testing must be performed to confirm cases, while death usually follows diagnosis by a week or two. <\/br>\n<!--\n&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <b>The percentage of COVID-19 molecular tests reported positive &ndash; a leading indicator of spread of the disease &ndash; <\/b>increased from 1.6% at the start of Phase 3 to 2.1% on August 6. However, the percent of positive tests fell to 1.3% the next day.<br>\n-->\n&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <b>The number of new COVID-19 cases was 157 at the start of Phase 3 and hit 540 on July 30, which was the highest daily new case count since early June.<\/b><\/br>\n&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; This recent upward trend in the spread of COVID-19 is particularly evident in the daily counts of new cases in individual counties. See <a href=\"http:\/\/capecovid.com\/?page_id=2119\">OTHER COUNTIES<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n\n<p style=\"margin: 20pt 30pt 25pt 30pt\">\n<u>Effect of reopening<\/u>: The recent increase in spread of COVID-19 in Massachusetts may be a result of the less restrictive set of rules associated with Phase 3, failure of residents to follow the rules, or both.\n<\/p>\n\n<!--\n<p style=\"margin: 25pt 30pt 25pt 30pt\">\nContrast the trends shown above with trends in several states in which the spread of COVID-19 is out of control: <a href=\"http:\/\/capecovid.com\/?page_id=1942\">OTHER STATES<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n-->\n\n\n\n<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Records of the Massachusetts Department of Public Health show that on March 1st, three cases of COVID-19 had been reported in Massachusetts. By the end of March, more than 100 new cases were being confirmed every day. The three charts below display the counts of new cases and deaths in Massachusetts, along with the percentage &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/capecovid.com\/?page_id=514\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Massachusetts&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-514","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/capecovid.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/514","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/capecovid.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/capecovid.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capecovid.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capecovid.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=514"}],"version-history":[{"count":334,"href":"https:\/\/capecovid.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/514\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2614,"href":"https:\/\/capecovid.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/514\/revisions\/2614"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/capecovid.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=514"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}